World leaders
are now preparing for the millennium summit to be held in New York next month,
described by the United Nations as a "once-in-a-generation opportunity to take
bold decisions."
Yet the
current draft outcome simply repeats what was agreed on aid and debt last month
in Gleneagles.
The G8 agreed
to increase aid from rich countries by US$48 billion a year by 2010. When Tony
Blair announced this to the British Parliament, he said that "in addition... we
agreed to cancel 100 per cent of the multilateral debts" of the most indebted
countries. He also said aid would come with no conditions attached. These were
big claims, all of which can now be shown to be false.
First,
in recent evidence to the UK Treasury committee, British Finance Minister Gordon
Brown made the astonishing admission that the aid increase includes money put
aside for debt relief. So the funds rich countries devote to writing off poor
countries' debts will be counted as aid.
A third of
France's aid budget consists of money for debt relief; much of this will be
simply a book-keeping exercise worth nothing on the ground since many debts are
not being serviced.
The debt deal
is not "in addition" to the aid increase, as Blair claimed, but part of it.
Far from
representing a "100 per cent" debt write-off, the deal applies initially to only
18 countries, which will save just US$1 billion a year in debt-service payments.
The 62 countries that need full debt cancellation to reach UN poverty targets
are paying 10 times more in debt service.
And recently
leaked World Bank documents show that the G8 agreed only three years' worth of
debt relief for these 18 countries. They state that "countries will have no
benefit from the initiative" unless there is "full donor financing."
The deal also
involves debts only to the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the
African Development Bank, whereas many countries have debts to other
organizations.
The deal
explicitly says that those countries receiving debt relief will have their aid
cut by the same amount. If, say, Senegal is forgiven US$100 million a year in
debt service, World Bank lending will be slashed by the same amount.
That sum will
be retained in the World Bank pot for lending across all poor countries, but
only when they sign up to World Bank/IMF economic policy conditions. And this
leads to the third false claim.
Blair's
assertion that aid will come with no conditions is contradicted by Hilary Benn,
UK development secretary, who told a British parliamentary committee on July 19
that "around half" of World Bank aid programs have privatisation conditions.
Recent
research by the NGO network Euro dad shows that conditions attached to World
Bank aid are rising.
Benin, for
example, now has to meet 130 conditions to qualify for aid, compared with 58 in
the previous agreement. Eleven of 13 countries analyzed have to promote
privatisation to receive World Bank loans, the two exceptions having already
undergone extensive privatisation programmers.
Yet in the G8
press conference, Blair refuted the suggestion that privatisation would be a
condition for aid.
According to
recently leaked documents, four rich-country representatives to the IMF board
want to add yet more conditions to debt relief.
This will be a
key topic for discussion at the IMF's annual meeting the week after the
millennium summit. The British Government opposes new conditions but continues
to support overall conditionality.
This makes a
mockery of Brown and Blair's claim that poor countries are now free to decide
their own policies.
It is true
that the G8 communiqué stated that "developing countries... need to decide, plan
and sequence their economic policies to fit with their own development
strategies." Yet it also stated that "African countries need to build a much
stronger investment climate" and increase "integration into the global economy"
code for promoting free trade and that aid resources would be focused on
countries meeting these objectives.
Poor countries
are free to do what rich countries tell them. The cost is huge. Christian Aid
estimates that Africa has lost US$272 billion in the past 20 years from being
forced to promote trade liberalization as the price for receiving World Bank
loans and debt relief.
The draft
outcome of the millennium summit says nothing about abolishing these conditions
and contains little to address Africa's poverty. With only a few weeks to go,
massive pressure needs to be brought to bear.