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Housing slump forecast to continue
The full extent of Australia's
housing downturn is becoming clear.
Construction started on
significantly fewer homes in the three months to December.
The first concrete was poured on
35,846 new homes during the December quarter, that is almost 9,000 fewer than
the recent peak in the March quarter of 2004.
The Housing Industry Association
says the latest slump in construction starts is unlikely to be the end of the
downturn.
It is the weakest level of activity
since the post-GST slump in 2001.
The December total is down 7.5 per
cent on the September quarter - the sharpest fall in two-and-a-half years and
the sixth decline in seven quarters.
Residential
construction activity has not been this weak since 2001, in the aftermath of the
GST's introduction.
The Housing Industry Association's
chief economist, Harley Dale, says it might not yet be over.
"I think there is some prospect we
will see a moderate fall in the March quarter," he said.
"Thereafter I would think that you
would probably see a base forming in terms of housing starts, which would in
turn feed through into the amount we're actually spending on housing starting to
pick up again through the course of 2007."
In six out of the past seven
quarters now, housing starts have been falling.
In the latest period, all states
have felt the decline and it has been concentrated in multi-unit developments,
which are down 16.6 per cent.
Residential construction activity
has not been this weak since 2001, in the aftermath of the GST's introduction. |